Great Myths of
the Great Depression
Thursday, April 8, 2004
By Lawrence W. Reed
Students today are often given a skewed account of the Great Depression of 1929-1941 that condemns freemarket
capitalism as the cause of, and promotes government intervention as the solution to, the economic
hardships of the era. In this essay based on a popular lecture, Mackinac Center for Public Policy President
Lawrence Reed debunks the conventional view and traces the central role that poor government policy played
in fostering this legendary catastrophe.
INTRODUCTION
Many volumes have been written about the Great Depression
of 1929-1941 and its impact on the lives of millions of Americans. Historians,
economists, and politicians have all combed the wreckage searching for the
"black box" that will reveal the cause of the calamity. Sadly, all too many of
them decide to abandon their search, finding it easier perhaps to circulate a
host of false and harmful conclusions about the events of seven decades ago.
Consequently, many people today continue to accept critiques of free-market
capitalism that are unjustified and support government policies that are
economically destructive.
How bad was the Great Depression? Over the four years from
1929 to 1933, production at the nation's factories, mines, and utilities fell by
more than half. People’s real disposable incomes dropped 28 percent. Stock
prices collapsed to one-tenth of their pre-crash height. The number of
unemployed Americans rose from 1.6 million in 1929 to 12.8 million in 1933. One
of every four workers was out of a job at the Depression's nadir, and ugly
rumors of revolt simmered for the first time since the Civil War.
"The terror of the Great Crash has been the failure to
explain it," writes economist Alan Reynolds. "People were left with the feeling
that massive economic contractions could occur at any moment, without warning,
without cause. That fear has been exploited ever since as the major
justification for virtually unlimited federal intervention in economic affairs."[1]
Old myths never die; they just keep showing up in economics
and political science textbooks. With only an occasional exception, it is there
you will find what may be the twentieth century's greatest myth: Capitalism
and the free-market economy were responsible for the Great Depression, and only
government intervention brought about America's economic recovery.
A MODERN FAIRY TALE
According to this simplistic perspective, an important
pillar of capitalism, the stock market, crashed and dragged America into
depression. President Herbert Hoover, an advocate of "hands-off," or
laissez-faire, economic policy, refused to use the power of government and
conditions worsened as a result. It was up to Hoover's successor, Franklin
Delano Roosevelt, to ride in on the white horse of government intervention and
steer the nation toward recovery. The apparent lesson to be drawn is that
capitalism cannot be trusted; government needs to take an active role in the
economy to save us from inevitable decline.
But those who propagate this version of history might just
as well top off their remarks by saying, "And Goldilocks found her way out of
the forest, Dorothy made it from Oz back to Kansas, and Little Red Riding Hood
won the New York State Lottery." The popular account of the Depression as
outlined above belongs in a book of fairy tales and not in a serious discussion
of economic history.
THE GREAT, GREAT, GREAT, GREAT DEPRESSION
To properly understand the events of the time, it is factually appropriate to view the Great Depression as not one, but
four consecutive downturns rolled into one. These four "phases" are:[2]
I. Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle
II. The Disintegration of the World Economy
III. The New Deal
IV. The Wagner Act
The first phase covers why the crash of 1929 happened in the first place; the other three show how government intervention worsened it and kept the economy in a stupor for over a decade. Let's consider each one in turn.
PHASE I: THE BUISNESS CYCLE
The Great Depression was not the country's first
depression, though it proved to be the longest. Several others preceded it.
A common thread woven through all of those earlier debacles
was disastrous intervention by government, often in the form of political
mismanagement of the money and credit supply. None of these depressions,
however, lasted more than four years and most of them were over in two. The
calamity that began in 1929 lasted at least three times longer than any
of the country's previous depressions because the government compounded its
initial errors with a series of additional and harmful interventions.
CENTRAL PLANNERS FAIL AT MONETARY POLICY
A popular explanation for the stock market collapse of 1929
concerns the practice of borrowing money to buy stock. Many history texts
blithely assert that a frenzied speculation in shares was fed by excessive
"margin lending." But Marquette University economist Gene Smiley, in his 2002
book Rethinking the Great Depression, explains why this is not a fruitful
observation:
There was already a long history of margin lending on
stock exchanges, and margin requirements - the share of the purchase price paid
in cash - were no lower in the late twenties than in the early twenties or in
previous decades. In fact, in the fall of 1928 margin requirements began to
rise, and borrowers were required to pay a larger share of the purchase price of
the stocks.
The margin lending argument
doesn't hold much water. Mischief with the money and credit supply, however, is
another story.
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| | Unemployment skyrocketed after Congress raised tariffs and taxes in the early 1930s and stayed high as policies of the Roosevelt administration discouraged investment and recovery during the rest of the decade.
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Most monetary economists, particularly those of the
"Austrian School," have observed the close relationship between money supply and
economic activity. When government inflates the money and credit supply,
interest rates at first fall. Businesses invest this "easy money" in new
production projects and a boom takes place in capital goods. As the boom
matures, business costs rise, interest rates readjust upward, and profits are
squeezed. The easy-money effects thus wear off and the monetary authorities,
fearing price inflation, slow the growth of, or even contract, the money supply.
In either case, the manipulation is enough to knock out the shaky supports from
underneath the economic house of cards.
One prominent interpretation of the Federal Reserve
System's actions prior to 1929 can be found in America's Great Depression
by economist Murray Rothbard. Using a broad measure that includes currency,
demand and time deposits, and other ingredients, he estimated that the Fed
bloated the money supply by more than 60 percent from mid-1921 to mid-1929.[3] Rothbard
argued that this expansion of money and credit drove interest rates down, pushed
the stock market to dizzy heights, and gave birth to the "Roaring Twenties."
Reckless money and credit growth constituted what economist
Benjamin M. Anderson called "the beginning of the New Deal"[4] – the name for the
better-known but highly interventionist policies that would come later under
President Franklin Roosevelt. However, other scholars raise doubts that Fed
action was as inflationary as Rothbard believed, pointing to relatively flat
commodity and consumer prices in the 1920s as evidence that monetary policy was
not so wildly irresponsible.
Substantial cuts in high marginal income tax rates in the
Coolidge years certainly helped the economy and may have ameliorated the price
effect of Fed policy. Tax reductions spurred investment and real economic
growth, which in turn yielded a burst of technological advancement and
entrepreneurial discoveries of cheaper ways to produce goods. This explosion in
productivity undoubtedly helped to keep prices lower than they would have
otherwise been.
Regarding Fed policy, free market economists who differ on
the extent of the Fed's monetary expansion of the early and mid-'20s are of one
view about what happened next: The central bank presided over a dramatic
contraction of the money supply that began late in the decade. The federal
government’s responses to the resulting recession took a bad situation and made
it far, far worse.
THE BOTTOM DROPS OUT
By 1928, the Federal Reserve was raising interest rates and
choking off the money supply. For example, its discount rate (the rate the Fed
charges member banks for loans) was increased four times, from 3.5 percent to 6
percent, between January 1928 and August 1929. The central bank took further
deflationary action by aggressively selling government securities for months
after the stock market crashed. For the next three years, the money supply
shrank by 30 percent. As prices then tumbled throughout the economy, the Fed's
higher interest rate policy boosted real (inflation-adjusted) rates
dramatically.
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| | People who argue that the free-market economy collapsed of its own weight in the 1930s seem utterly unaware of the critical role played by the Federal Reserve System's gross mismanagement of money and credit.
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The most comprehensive chronicle of the monetary policies
of the period can be found in the classic work of Nobel Laureate Milton Friedman
and his colleague Anna Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States,
1867-1960. Friedman and Schwartz argue conclusively that the contraction of
the nation's money supply by one-third between August 1929 and March 1933 was an
enormous drag on the economy and largely the result of seismic incompetence by
the Fed. The death in October 1928 of Benjamin Strong, a powerful figure who had
exerted great influence as head of the Fed’s New York district bank, left the
Fed floundering without capable leadership - making bad policy even worse.[5]
At first, only the "smart" money - the Bernard Baruchs and
the Joseph Kennedys who watched things like money supply and other government
policies - saw that the party was coming to an end. Baruch actually began
selling stocks and buying bonds and gold as early as 1928; Kennedy did likewise,
commenting, "only a fool holds out for the top dollar."[6]
The masses of investors eventually sensed the change at the
Fed and then the stampede began. In a special issue commemorating the 50th
anniversary of the stock market collapse, U. S. News & World Report
described it this way:
Actually the Great Crash was by no means a one-day
affair, despite frequent references to Black Thursday, October 24, and the
following week's Black Tuesday. As early as September 5, stocks were weak in
heavy trading, after having moved into new high ground two days earlier.
Declines in early October were called a "desirable correction." The Wall
Street Journal, predicting an autumn rally, noted that "some stocks rise,
some fall."
Then, on October 3, stocks suffered their worst
pummeling of the year. Margin calls went out; some traders grew apprehensive.
But the next day, prices rose again and thereafter seesawed for a fortnight.
The real crunch began on Wednesday, October 23, with
what one observer called "a Niagara of liquidation." Six million shares changed
hands. The industrial average fell 21 points. "Tomorrow, the turn will come,"
brokers told one another. Prices, they said, had been carried to "unreasonably
low" levels.
But the next day, Black Thursday, stocks were dumped in
even heavier selling . . . the ticker fell behind more than 5 hours, and finally
stopped grinding out quotations at 7:08 p.m.[7]
At their peak, stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average
were selling for 19 times earnings - somewhat high, but hardly what stock market
analysts regard as a sign of inordinate speculation. The distortions in the
economy promoted by the Fed's monetary policy had set the country up for a
recession, but other impositions to come would soon turn the recession into a
full-scale disaster. As stocks took a beating, Congress was playing with fire:
On the very morning of Black Thursday, the nation's newspapers reported that the
political forces for higher trade-damaging tariffs were making gains on Capitol
Hill.
The stock market crash was only a reflection - not the
direct cause - of the destructive government policies that would ultimately
produce the Great Depression: The market rose and fell in almost direct
synchronization with what the Fed and Congress were doing. And what they did in
the 1930s ranks way up there in the annals of history's greatest follies.
BUDDY CAN YOU SPARE $20 MILLION?
Black Thursday shook Michigan harder than almost any other state. Stocks of auto and miningcompanies were hammered. Auto production in 1929 reached an all-time high of slightly more than five million vehicles, then quickly slumped by two million in 1930. By 1932, near the deepest point of the Depression, they had fallen by another two million to just 1,331,860 - down an astonishing 75 percent from the 1929 peak.
Thousands of investors everywhere, including many well-known people, were hit hard in the 1929 crash. Among them was Winston Churchill. He had invested heavily in American stocks before the crash. Afterward, only his writing skills and positions in government restored his finances.
Clarence Birdseye, an early developer of packaged frozen foods, had sold his business for $30 million and put all his money into stocks. He was wiped out.
William C. Durant, founder of General Motors, lost more than $40 million in the stock market and wound up a virtual pauper. (GM itself stayed in the black throughout the Depression under the cost-cutting leadership of Alfred P. Sloan.)
PHASE II: DISINTEGRATION OF THE WORLD ECONOMY
Though modern myth claims that the free market "self-destructed" in 1929, government policy was the debacle’s principal culprit. If this crash had been like previous ones, the hard times would have ended in two or three years at the most, and likely sooner than that. But unprecedented political bungling instead prolonged the misery for over 10 years.
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| | President Herbert Hoover
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Unemployment in 1930 averaged a mildly recessionary 8.9 percent, up from 3.2 percent in 1929. It shot up rapidly until peaking out at more than 25 percent in 1933. Until March of 1933, these were the years of President Herbert Hoover - a man often depicted as a champion of noninterventionist, laissez-faire economics.
THE GREATEST SPENDING ADMINISTRATION IN ALL OF HISTORY
Did Hoover really subscribe to a "hands-off-the-economy,"
free-market philosophy? His opponent in the 1932 election, Franklin Roosevelt,
didn't think so. During the campaign, Roosevelt blasted Hoover for spending and
taxing too much, boosting the national debt, choking off trade, and putting
millions on the dole. He accused the president of "reckless and extravagant"
spending, of thinking "that we ought to center control of everything in
Washington as rapidly as possible," and of presiding over "the greatest spending
administration in peacetime in all of history." Roosevelt's running mate, John
Nance Garner, charged that Hoover was "leading the country down the path of
socialism."[8] Contrary to the conventional view about Hoover, Roosevelt and
Garner were absolutely right.
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| | President Herbert Hoover is mistakenly presented in standard history texts as a laissez-faire president, but he singed into law so many costly and foolish bills that one of Franklin Roosevelt's top aides later said that "practically the whole New Deal was extrapolated from programs that Hoover started."
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The crowning folly of the Hoover administration was the
Smoot-Hawley Tariff, passed in June 1930. It came on top of the Fordney-McCumber
Tariff of 1922, which had already put American agriculture in a tailspin during
the preceding decade. The most protectionist legislation in U. S. history,
Smoot-Hawley virtually closed the borders to foreign goods and ignited a vicious
international trade war. Professor Barry Poulson describes the scope of the act:
The act raised the rates on the entire range of dutiable
commodities; for example, the average rate increased from 20 percent to 34
percent on agricultural products; from 36 percent to 47 percent on wines,
spirits, and beverages; from 50 to 60 percent on wool and woolen manufactures.
In all, 887 tariffs were sharply increased and the act broadened the list of
dutiable commodities to 3,218 items. A crucial part of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff
was that many tariffs were for a specific amount of money rather than a
percentage of the price. As prices fell by half or more during the Great
Depression, the effective rate of these specific tariffs doubled, increasing the
protection afforded under the act.[9]
Smoot-Hawley was as broad as it was deep, affecting a
multitude of products. Before its passage, clocks had faced a tariff of 45
percent; the act raised that to 55 percent, plus as much as another $4.50 per
clock. Tariffs on corn and butter were roughly doubled. Even sauerkraut was
tariffed for the first time. Among the few remaining tariff-free goods,
strangely enough, were leeches and skeletons (perhaps as a political sop to the
American Medical Association, as one wag wryly remarked).
Tariffs on linseed oil, tungsten, and casein hammered the
U. S. paint, steel, and paper industries, respectively. More than 800 items used
in automobile production were taxed by Smoot-Hawley. Most of the 60,000 people
employed in U. S. plants making cheap clothing out of imported wool rags went
home jobless after the tariff on wool rags rose by 140 percent.[10]
Officials in the administration and in Congress believed
that raising trade barriers would force Americans to buy more goods made at
home, which would solve the nagging unemployment problem. But they ignored an
important principle of international commerce: Trade is ultimately a two-way
street; if foreigners cannot sell their goods here, then they cannot earn the
dollars they need to buy here. Or, to put it another way, government cannot shut
off imports without simultaneously shutting off exports.
YOU TAX ME, I TAX YOU
Foreign companies and their workers were flattened by Smoot-Hawley's steep tariff rates and foreign governments soon retaliated with trade barriers of their own. With their ability to sell in the American market severely hampered, they curtailed their purchases of American goods. American agriculture was particularly hard hit. With a stroke of the presidential pen, farmers in this country lost nearly a third of their markets. Farm prices plummeted and tens of thousands of farmers went bankrupt. A bushel of wheat that sold for $1.00 in 1929 was selling for a mere 30 cents by 1932.
With the collapse of agriculture, rural banks failed in record numbers, dragging down hundreds of thousands of their customers. Nine thousand banks closed their doors in the United States between 1930 and 1933. The stock market, which had regained much of the ground it had lost since the previous October, tumbled 20 points on the day Hoover signed Smoot-Hawley into law, and fell almost without respite for the next two years. (The market's high, as measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, was set on September 3, 1929, at 381. It hit its 1929 low of 198 on November 13, then rebounded to 294 by April 1930. It declined again as the tariff bill made its way toward Hoover's desk in June and did not bottom out until it reached a mere 41 two years later. It would be a quarter-century before the Dow would climb to 381 again.)
The shrinkage in world trade brought on by the tariff wars helped set the stage for World War II a few years later. In 1929, the rest of the world owed American citizens $30 billion. Germany's Weimar Republic was struggling to pay the enormous reparations bill imposed by the disastrous Treaty of Versailles. When tariffs made it nearly impossible for foreign businessmen to sell their goods in American markets, the burden of their debts became massively heavier and emboldened demagogues like Adolf Hitler. "When goods don't cross frontiers, armies will," warns an old but painfully true maxim.
FREE MARKETS OR FREE LUNCHES?
Smoot-Hawley by itself should lay to rest the myth that Hoover was a free market practitioner, but there is even more to the story of his administration's interventionist mistakes. Within a month of the stock market crash, he convened conferences of business leaders for the purpose of jawboning them into keeping wages artificially high even though both profits and prices were falling. Consumer prices plunged almost 25 percent between 1929 and 1933 while nominal wages on average decreased only 15 percent - translating into a substantial increase in wages in real terms, a major component of the cost of doing business. As economist Richard Ebeling notes, "The 'highwage' policy of the Hoover administration and the trade unions ... succeeded only in pricing workers out of the labor market, generating
an increasing circle of unemployment."[11]
Hoover dramatically increased government spending for subsidy and relief schemes. In the space of one year alone, from 1930 to 1931, the federal government's share of GNP soared from 16.4 percent to 21.5 percent.[12]Hoover's agricultural bureaucracy doled out hundreds of millions of dollars to wheat and cotton farmers even as the new tariffs wiped out their markets. His Reconstruction Finance Corporation ladled out billions more in business subsidies. Commenting decades later on Hoover's administration, Rexford Guy Tugwell, one of the architects of Franklin Roosevelt's policies of the 1930s, explained, "We didn't admit it at the time, but practically the whole New Deal was extrapolated from programs that Hoover started."[13]
Though Hoover at first did lower taxes for the poorest of Americans, Larry Schweikart and Michael Allen in their sweeping A Patriot's History of the United States: From Columbus's Great Discovery to the War on Terror stress that he "offered no incentives to the wealthy to invest in new plants to stimulate hiring." He even taxed bank checks,"which accelerated the decline in the availability of money by penalizing
people for writing checks."[14]
In September 1931, with the money supply tumbling and the economy reeling from the impact of Smoot-Hawley, the Fed imposed the biggest hike in its discount rate in history. Bank deposits fell 15 percent within four months and sizable, deflationary declines in the nation's money supply persisted through the first half of 1932.
Compounding the error of high tariffs, huge subsidies, and deflationary monetary policy, Congress then passed and Hoover signed the Revenue Act of 1932. The largest tax increase in peacetime history, it doubled the income tax. The top bracket actually more than doubled, soaring from 24 percent to 63 percent. Exemptions were lowered; the earned income credit was abolished; corporate and estate taxes were raised; new gift, gasoline, and auto taxes were imposed; and postal rates were sharply hiked.
Can any serious scholar observe the Hoover administration's massive economic intervention and, with a straight face, pronounce the inevitably deleterious effects as the fault of free markets? Schweikart and Allen survey some of the wreckage:
By 1933, the numbers produced by this comedy of errors were staggering: national unemployment rates reached 25 percent, but within some individual cities, the statistics seemed beyond comprehension. Cleveland reported that 50 percent of its labor force was unemployed; Toledo, 80 percent; and some states even averaged over 40 percent. Because of the dual-edged sword of declining revenues and increasing welfare demands, the burden on the cities pushed many municipalities to the brink. Schools in New York shut down, and teachers in Chicago were owed some $20 million. Private schools, in many cases, failed completely. One government study found that by 1933 some fifteen hundred colleges had gone belly-up, and book sales plummeted. Chicago's library system did not purchase a single book in a year-long period.[15]
PHASE III: THE NEW DEAL
Franklin Delano Roosevelt won the 1932 presidential election in a landslide, collecting 472 electoral votes to just 59 for the incumbent Herbert Hoover. The platform of the Democratic Party, whose ticket Roosevelt headed, declared, "We believe that a party platform is a covenant with the people to be faithfully kept by the party entrusted with power." It called for a 25-percent reduction in federal spending, a balanced federal budget, a sound gold currency "to be preserved at all hazards," the removal of government from areas that belonged more appropriately to private enterprise, and an end to the "extravagance" of Hoover’s farm programs. This is what candidate Roosevelt promised, but it bears no resemblance to what President Roosevelt actually delivered.
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| | President Franklin Roosevelt
Americans voted for Franklin Roosevelt in 1932 expecting him to adhere to the Democratic Party platform, which called for less government spending and regulation.
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Washington was rife with both fear and optimism as
Roosevelt was sworn in on March 4, 1933 - fear that the economy might not
recover and optimism that the new and assertive president just might make a
difference. Humorist Will Rogers captured the popular feeling toward FDR as he
assembled the new administration: "The whole country is with him, just so he
does something. If he burned down the Capitol, we would all cheer and
say, well, we at least got a fire started anyhow."[16]
"NOTHING TO FEAR BUT FEAR ITSELF"
Roosevelt did indeed make a difference, though probably not
the sort of difference for which the country had hoped. He started off on the
wrong foot when, in his inaugural address, he blamed the Depression on
"unscrupulous money changers." He said nothing about the role of the Fed's
mismanagement and little about the follies of Congress that had contributed to
the problem. As a result of his efforts, the economy would linger in depression
for the rest of the decade. Adapting a phrase from nineteenth-century writer
Henry David Thoreau, Roosevelt famously declared in his address that, "We have
nothing to fear but fear itself." But as Dr. Hans Sennholz of Grove City College
explains, it was FDR's policies to come that Americans had genuine reason to
fear:
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| | President Franklin Roosevelt decried as selfish "economic royalists" those businessmen who opposed the burdensome taxes and regulations of his "New Deal."
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In his first 100 days, he swung hard at the profit
order. Instead of clearing away the prosperity barriers erected by his
predecessor, he built new ones of his own. He struck in every known way at the
integrity of the U. S. dollar through quantitative increases and qualitative
deterioration. He seized the people's gold holdings and subsequently devalued
the dollar by 40 percent.[17]
Frustrated and angered that Roosevelt had so quickly and
thoroughly abandoned the platform on which he was elected, Director of the
Bureau of the Budget Lewis W. Douglas resigned after only one year on the job.
At Harvard University in May 1935, Douglas made it plain that America was facing
a momentous choice:
Will we choose to subject ourselves - this great country
- to the despotism of bureaucracy, controlling our every act, destroying what
equality we have attained, reducing us eventually to the condition of
impoverished slaves of the state? Or will we cling to the liberties for which
man has struggled for more than a thousand years? It is important to understand
the magnitude of the issue before us . . . . If we do not elect to have a
tyrannical, oppressive bureaucracy controlling our lives, destroying progress,
depressing the standard of living . . . then should it not be the function of
the Federal government under a democracy to limit its activities to those which
a democracy may adequately deal, such for example as national defense,
maintaining law and order, protecting life and property, preventing dishonesty,
and . . . guarding the public against . . . vested special interests?[18]
NEW DEALING FROM THE BOTTOM OF THE DECK
Crisis gripped the banking system when the new president
assumed office on March 4, 1933. Roosevelt's action to close the banks and
declare a nationwide "banking holiday" on March 6 (which did not completely end
until nine days later) is still hailed as a decisive and necessary action by
Roosevelt apologists. Friedman and Schwartz, however, make it plain that this
supposed cure was "worse than the disease." The Smoot-Hawley tariff and the
Fed’s unconscionable monetary mischief were primary culprits in producing the
conditions that gave Roosevelt his excuse to temporarily deprive depositors of
their money, and the bank holiday did nothing to alter those fundamentals. "More
than 5,000 banks still in operation when the holiday was declared did not reopen
their doors when it ended, and of these, over 2,000 never did thereafter,"
report Friedman and Schwartz.[19]
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| | Roosevelt was a spellbinding speaker and an inspiration to many. Unfortunately, historians with a statist bias have assessed his 12 years in office more in terms of the high-sounding rhetoric than by actual results. |
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Economist Jim Powell of the Cato Institute authored a
splendid book on the Great Depression in 2003, titled FDR's Folly: How
Roosevelt and His New Deal Prolonged the Great Depression. He points out
that "Almost all the failed banks were in states with unit banking laws" - laws
that prohibited banks from opening branches and thereby diversifying their
portfolios and reducing their risks. Powell writes: "Although the United States,
with its unit banking laws, had thousands of bank failures, Canada, which
permitted branch banking, didn't have a single failure. . . ."[20] Strangely,
critics of capitalism who love to blame the market for the Depression never
mention that fact.
Congress gave the president the power first to seize the
private gold holdings of American citizens and then to fix the price of gold.
One morning, as Roosevelt ate eggs in bed, he and Secretary of the Treasury
Henry Morgenthau decided to change the ratio between gold and paper dollars.
After weighing his options, Roosevelt settled on a 21-cent price hike because
"it's a lucky number." In his diary, Morgenthau wrote, "If anybody ever knew how
we really set the gold price through a combination of lucky numbers, I think
they would be frightened."[21] Roosevelt also single-handedly torpedoed the
London Economic Conference in 1933, which was convened at the request of other
major nations to bring down tariff rates and restore the gold standard.
Washington and its reckless central bank had already made
mincemeat of the gold standard by the early 1930s. Roosevelt's rejection of it
removed most of the remaining impediments to limitless currency and credit
expansion, for which the nation would pay a high price in later years in the
form of a depreciating currency. Senator Carter Glass put it well when he warned
Roosevelt in early 1933: "It's dishonor, sir. This great government, strong in
gold, is breaking its promises to pay gold to widows and orphans to whom it has
sold government bonds with a pledge to pay gold coin of the present standard of
value. It is breaking its promise to redeem its paper money in gold coin of the
present standard of value. It's dishonor, sir."[22]
Though he seized the country's gold, Roosevelt did return
booze to America's bars and parlor rooms. On his second Sunday in the White
House, he remarked at dinner, "I think this would be a good time for beer."[23] That same night, he drafted a message asking Congress to end Prohibition. The
House approved a repeal measure on Tuesday, the Senate passed it on Thursday and
before the year was out, enough states had ratified it so that the 21st
Amendment became part of the Constitution. One observer, commenting on this
remarkable turn of events, noted that of two men walking down the street at the
start of 1933 - one with a gold coin in his pocket and the other with a bottle
of whiskey in his coat - the man with the coin would be an upstanding citizen
and the man with the whiskey would be the outlaw. A year later, precisely the
reverse was true.
In the first year of the New Deal, Roosevelt proposed
spending $10 billion while revenues were only $3 billion. Between 1933 and 1936,
government expenditures rose by more than 83 percent. Federal debt skyrocketed
by 73 percent.
FDR talked Congress into creating Social Security in 1935
and imposing the nation's first comprehensive minimum wage law in 1938. While to
this day he gets a great deal of credit for these two measures from the general
public, many economists have a different perspective. The minimum wage law
prices many of the inexperienced, the young, the unskilled, and the
disadvantaged out of the labor market. (For example, the minimum wage provisions
passed as part of another act in 1933 threw an estimated 500,000 blacks out of
work).[24] And current studies and estimates reveal that Social Security has
become such a long-term actuarial nightmare that it will either have to be
privatized or the already high taxes needed to keep it afloat will have to be
raised to the stratosphere.
Roosevelt secured passage of the Agricultural Adjustment
Act (AAA), which levied a new tax on agricultural processors and used the
revenue to supervise the wholesale destruction of valuable crops and cattle.
Federal agents oversaw the ugly spectacle of perfectly good fields of cotton,
wheat, and corn being plowed under (the mules had to be convinced to trample the
crops; they had been trained, of course, to walk between the rows).
Healthy cattle, sheep, and pigs were slaughtered and buried in mass graves.
Secretary of Agriculture Henry Wallace personally gave the order to slaughter
six million baby pigs before they grew to full size. The administration also
paid farmers for the first time for not working at all. Even if the AAA had
helped farmers by curtailing supplies and raising prices, it could have done so
only by hurting millions of others who had to pay those prices or make do with
less to eat.
BLUE EAGLES, RED DUCTS
Perhaps the most radical aspect of the New Deal was the
National Industrial Recovery Act (NIRA), passed in June 1933, which created a
massive new bureaucracy called the National Recovery Administration. Under the
NRA, most manufacturing industries were suddenly forced into government-mandated
cartels. Codes that regulated prices and terms of sale briefly transformed much
of the American economy into a fascist-style arrangement, while the NRA was
financed by new taxes on the very industries it controlled. Some economists have
estimated that the NRA boosted the cost of doing business by an average of 40
percent - not something a depressed economy needed for recovery.
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| | To many Americans, the National Recovery Administration’s bureaucracy and mind-numbing regulations became known as the "National Run Around." |
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The economic impact of the NRA was immediate and powerful.
In the five months leading up to the act's passage, signs of recovery were
evident: factory employment and payrolls had increased by 23 and 35 percent,
respectively. Then came the NRA, shortening hours of work, raising wages
arbitrarily, and imposing other new costs on enterprise. In the six months after
the law took effect, industrial production dropped 25 percent. Benjamin
M. Anderson writes, "NRA was not a revival measure. It was an antirevival
measure . . . . Through the whole of the NRA period industrial production did
not rise as high as it had been in July 1933, before NRA came in."[25]
The man Roosevelt picked to direct the NRA effort was
General Hugh "Iron Pants" Johnson, a profane, red-faced bully and professed
admirer of Italian dictator Benito Mussolini. Thundered Johnson, "May Almighty
God have mercy on anyone who attempts to interfere with the Blue Eagle" (the
official symbol of the NRA, which one senator derisively referred to as the
"Soviet duck"). Those who refused to comply with the NRA Johnson personally
threatened with public boycotts and "a punch in the nose."
There were ultimately more than 500 NRA codes, "ranging
from the production of lightning rods to the manufacture of corsets and
brassieres, covering more than 2 million employers and 22 million workers."[26] There were codes for the production of hair tonic, dog leashes, and even
musical comedies. A New Jersey tailor named Jack Magid was arrested and sent to
jail for the "crime" of pressing a suit of clothes for 35 cents rather than the
NRA-inspired "Tailor's Code" of 40 cents.
In The Roosevelt Myth, historian John T. Flynn
described how the NRA's partisans sometimes conducted "business":
The NRA was discovering it could not enforce its rules.
Black markets grew up. Only the most violent police methods could procure
enforcement. In Sidney Hillman's garment industry the code authority employed
enforcement police. They roamed through the garment district like storm
troopers. They could enter a man’s factory, send him out, line up his employees, subject them to minute interrogation, take over his books on the instant. Night work was forbidden. Flying squadrons of these private coat-and-suit police went through the district at night, battering down doors with axes looking for men who were committing the crime of sewing together a pair of pants at night. But without these harsh methods many code authorities said there could be no compliance because the public was not back of it.[27]
THE ALPHABET COMMISSARS
Roosevelt next signed into law steep income tax increases
on the higher brackets and introduced a five-percent withholding tax on
corporate dividends. He secured another tax increase in 1934. In fact, tax hikes
became a favorite policy of Roosevelt for the next ten years, culminating in a
top income tax rate of 90 percent. Senator Arthur Vandenberg of Michigan, who
opposed much of the New Deal, lambasted Roosevelt’s massive tax increases. A
sound economy would not be restored, he said, by following the socialist notion
that America could "lift the lower one-third up" by pulling "the upper
two-thirds down."[28] Vandenberg also condemned "the congressional surrender
to alphabet commissars who deeply believe the American people need to be
regimented by powerful overlords in order to be saved."[29]
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| | Michigan Senator Arthur Vandenberg argues that a sound economy could not be restored through FDR's punitive tax and regulatory measures. |
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Alphabet commissars spent the public's money like it was so
much bilge. They were what influential journalist and social critic Albert Jay
Nock had in mind when he described the New Deal as "a nation-wide, State-managed
mobilization of inane buffoonery and aimless commotion."[30]
Roosevelt's Civil Works Administration (CWA) hired actors
to give free shows and librarians to catalog archives. It even paid researchers
to study the history of the safety pin, hired 100 Washington workers to patrol
the streets with balloons to frighten starlings away from public buildings, and
put men on the public payroll to chase tumbleweeds on windy days.
The CWA, when it was started in the fall of 1933, was
supposed to be a short-lived jobs program. Roosevelt assured Congress in his
State of the Union message that any new such program would be abolished within a
year. "The federal government," said the president, "must and shall quit this
business of relief. I am not willing that the vitality of our people be further
stopped by the giving of cash, of market baskets, of a few bits of weekly work
cutting grass, raking leaves, or picking up papers in the public parks." Harry
Hopkins was put in charge of the agency and later said, "I've got four million
at work but for God's sake, don't ask me what they are doing." The CWA came to
an end within a few months but was replaced with another temporary relief
program that evolved into the Works Progress Administration, or WPA, by 1935. It
is known today as the very government program that gave rise to the new term,
"boondoggle," because it "produced" a lot more than the 77,000 bridges and
116,000 buildings to which its advocates loved to point as evidence of its
efficacy.[31]
With good reason, critics often referred to the WPA as "We
Piddle Around." In Kentucky, WPA workers catalogued 350 different ways to cook
spinach. The agency employed 6,000 "actors" though the nation's actors' union
claimed only 4,500 members. Hundreds of WPA workers were used to collect
campaign contributions for Democratic Party candidates. In Tennessee, WPA
workers were fired if they refused to donate two percent of their wages to the
incumbent governor. By 1941, only 59 percent of the WPA budget went to paying
workers anything at all; the rest was sucked up in administration and overhead.
The editors of The New Republic asked, "Has [Roosevelt] the moral stature
to admit now that the WPA was a hasty and grandiose political gesture, that it
is a wretched failure and should be abolished?"[32] The last of the WPA's
projects was not eliminated until July of 1943.
Roosevelt has been lauded for his "job-creating" acts such
as the CWA and the WPA. Many people think that they helped relieve the
Depression. What they fail to realize is that it was the rest of Roosevelt's
tinkering that prolonged the Depression and which largely prevented the jobless
from finding real jobs in the first place. The stupefying roster of wasteful
spending generated by these jobs programs represented a diversion of valuable
resources to politically motivated and economically counterproductive purposes.
A brief analogy will illustrate this point. If a thief goes
house to house robbing everybody in the neighborhood, then heads off to a nearby
shopping mall to spend his ill-gotten loot, it is not assumed that because his
spending "stimulated" the stores at the mall he has thereby performed a national service or provided a general economic benefit. Likewise, when the government hires someone to catalog the many ways of cooking spinach, his tax-supported paycheck cannot be counted as a net increase to the economy because the wealth used to pay him was simply diverted, not created. Economists today must still battle this "magical thinking" every time more government spending is proposed - as if money comes not from productive citizens, but rather from the tooth fairy.
AN ASTONISHING RABBLE OF IMPUDENT NOBODIES
Roosevelt's haphazard economic interventions garnered credit from people who put high value on the appearance of being in charge and "doing something." Meanwhile, the great majority of Americans were patient. They wanted very much to give this charismatic polio victim and former New York governor the benefit of the doubt. But Roosevelt always had his critics, and they would grow more numerous as the years groaned on. One of them was the inimitable "Sage of Baltimore," H. L. Mencken, who rhetorically threw everything but the kitchen sink at the president. Paul Johnson sums up Mencken's stinging but often-humorous barbs this way:
Mencken excelled himself in attacking the triumphant FDR, whose whiff of fraudulent collectivism filled him with genuine disgust. He was the 'Fuhrer,' the 'Quack,' surrounded by 'an astonishing rabble of impudent
nobodies,' 'a gang of half-educated pedagogues, nonconstitutional lawyers,
starry-eyed uplifters and other such sorry wizards.' His New Deal was a
'political racket,' a 'series of stupendous bogus miracles,' with its 'constant
appeals to class envy and hatred,' treating government as 'a milch-cow with 125
million teats' and marked by ‘frequent repudiations of categorical pledges.'[33]
SIGNS OF LIFE
The American economy was soon relieved of the burden of
some of the New Deal's worst excesses when the Supreme Court outlawed the NRA in
1935 and the AAA in 1936, earning Roosevelt's eternal wrath and derision.
Recognizing much of what Roosevelt did as unconstitutional, the "nine old men"
of the Court also threw out other, more minor acts and programs which hindered
recovery.
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| | The Supreme Court came under attack by President Roosevelt because it declared important parts of the "new Deal" unconstitutional. FDR's "court-packing" scheme contributed to the resumption of economic depression in 1937.
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Freed from the worst of the New Deal, the economy showed
some signs of life. Unemployment dropped to 18 percent in 1935, 14 percent in
1936, and even lower in 1937. But by 1938, it was back up to nearly 20 percent
as the economy slumped again. The stock market crashed nearly 50 percent between
August 1937 and March 1938. The "economic stimulus" of Franklin Delano
Roosevelt's New Deal had achieved a real "first": a depression within a
depression!
PHASE IV: THE WAGNER ACT
The stage was set for the 1937-38 collapse with the passage
of the National Labor Relations Act in 1935-better known as the "Wagner Act" and
organized labor's "Magna Carta." To quote Sennholz again:
This law revolutionized American labor relations. It
took labor disputes out of the courts of law and brought them under a newly
created Federal agency, the National Labor Relations Board, which became
prosecutor, judge, and jury, all in one. Labor union sympathizers on the Board
further perverted this law, which already afforded legal immunities and
privileges to labor unions. The U. S. thereby abandoned a great achievement of
Western civilization, equality under the law.
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| | Special powers granted to organized labor with the passage of the Wagner Act contributed to a wave of militant strikes and a "depression within a depression" in 1937.
Archives of Labor and Urban Affairs |
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The Wagner Act, or National Labor Relations Act, was
passed in reaction to the Supreme Court's voidance of NRA and its labor codes.
It aimed at crushing all employer resistance to labor unions. Anything an
employer might do in self-defense became an "unfair labor practice" punishable
by the Board. The law not only obliged employers to deal and bargain with the
unions designated as the employees' representative; later Board decisions also
made it unlawful to resist the demands of labor union leaders.[34]
Armed with these sweeping new powers, labor unions went on
a militant organizing frenzy. Threats, boycotts, strikes, seizures of plants,
and widespread violence pushed productivity down sharply and unemployment up
dramatically. Membership in the nation's labor unions soared: By 1941, there
were two and a half times as many Americans in unions as had been the case in
1935. Historian William E. Leuchtenburg, himself no friend of free enterprise,
observed, "Property-minded citizens were scared by the seizure of factories,
incensed when strikers interfered with the mails, vexed by the intimidation of
nonunionists, and alarmed by flying squadrons of workers who marched, or
threatened to march, from city to city."[35]
AN UNFRIENDLY CLIMATE FOR BUISNESS
From the White House on the heels of the Wagner Act came a
thunderous barrage of insults against business. Businessmen, Roosevelt fumed,
were obstacles on the road to recovery. He blasted them as "economic royalists"
and said that businessmen as a class were "stupid."[36] He followed up the
insults with a rash of new punitive measures. New strictures on the stock market
were imposed. A tax on corporate retained earnings, called the "undistributed
profits tax," was levied. "These soak-the-rich efforts," writes economist Robert
Higgs, "left little doubt that the president and his administration intended to
push through Congress everything they could to extract wealth from the
high-income earners responsible for making the bulk of the nation's decisions
about private investment."[37]
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| | At the nadir of the Great Depression, half of American industrial production was idle as the economy reeled under the weight of endless and destructive policies from both Republicans and Democrats in Washington.
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During a period of barely two months during late 1937, the
market for steel - a key economic barometer - plummeted from 83 percent of
capacity to 35 percent. When that news emblazoned headlines, Roosevelt took an
ill-timed nine-day fishing trip. The New York Herald-Tribune implored him
to get back to work to stem the tide of the renewed Depression. What was needed,
said the newspaper's editors, was a reversal of the Roosevelt policy "of
bitterness and hate, of setting class against class and punishing all who
disagreed with him."[38]
Columnist Walter Lippmann wrote in March 1938 that "with
almost no important exception every measure he [Roosevelt] has been interested
in for the past five months has been to reduce or discourage the production of
wealth."[39]
As pointed out earlier in this essay, Herbert Hoover's own
version of a "New Deal" had hiked the top marginal income tax rate from 24 to 63
percent in 1932. But he was a piker compared to his tax-happy successor. Under
Roosevelt, the top rate was raised at first to 79 percent and then later to 90
percent. Economic historian Burton Folsom notes that in 1941 Roosevelt even
proposed a whopping 99.5-percent marginal rate on all incomes over $100,000.
"Why not?" he said when an advisor questioned the idea.[40]
After that confiscatory proposal failed, Roosevelt issued
an executive order to tax all income over $25,000 at the astonishing rate of 100
percent. He also promoted the lowering of the personal exemption to only $600, a
tactic that pushed most American families into paying at least some income tax
for the first time. Shortly thereafter, Congress rescinded the executive order,
but went along with the reduction of the personal exemption.[41]
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve again seesawed its monetary
policy in the mid-'30s, first up then down, then up sharply through America's
entry into World War II. Contributing to the economic slide of 1937 was this
fact: From the summer of 1936 to the spring of 1937, the Fed doubled reserve
requirements on the nation's banks. Experience has shown time and again that a
roller-coaster monetary policy is enough by itself to produce a roller-coaster
economy.
Still stinging from his earlier Supreme Court defeats,
Roosevelt tried in 1937 to "pack" the Supreme Court with a proposal to allow the
president to appoint an additional justice to the Court for every sitting
justice who had reached the age of 70 and did not retire. Had this proposal
passed, Roosevelt could have appointed six new justices favorable to his views,
increasing the members of the Court from 9 to 15. His plan failed in Congress,
but the Court later began rubber-stamping his policies after a number of
opposing justices retired. Until Congress killed the packing scheme, however,
business fears that a Court sympathetic to Roosevelt's goals would endorse more
of the old New Deal prevented investment and confidence from reviving.
Economic historian Robert Higgs draws a close connection
between the level of private investment and the course of the American economy
in the 1930s. The relentless assaults of the Roosevelt administration - in both
word and deed - against business, property, and free enterprise guaranteed that
the capital needed to jump-start the economy was either taxed away or forced
into hiding. When FDR took America to war in 1941, he eased up on his
anti-business agenda, but a great deal of the nation's capital was diverted into
the war effort instead of into plant expansion or consumer goods. Not until both
Roosevelt and the war were gone did investors feel confident enough to "set in
motion the postwar investment boom that powered the economy's return to
sustained prosperity."[42]
This view gains support in these comments from one of the
country's leading investors of the time, Lammot du Pont, offered in 1937:
Uncertainty rules the tax situation, the labor
situation, the monetary situation, and practically every legal condition under
which industry must operate. Are taxes to go higher, lower or stay where they
are? We don't know. Is labor to be union or non-union? . . . Are we to have
inflation or deflation, more government spending or less? . . . Are new
restrictions to be placed on capital, new limits on profits? . . . It is
impossible to even guess at the answers."[43]
Many modern historians tend to be reflexively
anti-capitalist and distrustful of free markets; they find Roosevelt's exercise
of power, constitutional or not, to be impressive and historically
"interesting." In surveys, a majority consistently rank FDR near the top of the
list for presidential greatness, so it is likely they would disdain the notion
that the New Deal was responsible for prolonging the Great Depression. But when
a nationally representative poll by the American Institute of Public Opinion in
the spring of 1939 asked, "Do you think the attitude of the Roosevelt
administration toward business is delaying business recovery?" the American
people responded "yes" by a margin of more than two-to-one. The business
community felt even more strongly so.[44]
In his private diary, FDR's very own Treasury Secretary,
Henry Morgenthau, seemed to agree. He wrote: "We have tried spending money. We
are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work. . . . We
have never made good on our promises. . . . I say after eight years of this
Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started . . . . and
an enormous debt to boot!"[45]
At the end of the decade and 12 years after the stock
market crash of Black Thursday, 10 million Americans were jobless. The
unemployment rate was in excess of 17 percent. Roosevelt had pledged in 1932 to
end the crisis, but it persisted two presidential terms and countless
interventions later.
WHITHER FREE ENTERPRISE
How was it that FDR was elected four times if his policies
were deepening and prolonging an economic catastrophe? Ignorance and a
willingness to give the president the benefit of the doubt explain a lot.
Roosevelt beat Hoover in 1932 with promises of less government. He
instead gave Americans more government, but he did so with fanfare and
fireside chats that mesmerized a desperate people. By the time they began to
realize that his policies were harmful, World War II came, the people rallied
around their commander-in-chief, and there was little desire to change the
proverbial horse in the middle of the stream by electing someone new.
Along with the holocaust of World War II came a revival of
trade with America's allies. The war's destruction of people and resources did
not help the U. S. economy, but this renewed trade did. A reinflation of the
nation's money supply counteracted the high costs of the New Deal, but brought
with it a problem that plagues us to this day: a dollar that buys less and less
in goods and services year after year. Most importantly, the Truman
administration that followed Roosevelt was decidedly less eager to berate and
bludgeon private investors and as a result, those investors re-entered the
economy and fueled a powerful postwar boom. The Great Depression finally ended,
but it should linger in our minds today as one of the most colossal and tragic
failures of government and public policy in American history.
The genesis of the Great Depression lay in the
irresponsible monetary and fiscal policies of the U. S. government in the late
1920s and early 1930s. These policies included a litany of political missteps:
central bank mismanagement, trade-crushing tariffs, incentive-sapping taxes,
mind-numbing controls on production and competition, senseless destruction of
crops and cattle, and coercive labor laws, to recount just a few. It was not
the free market which produced 12 years of agony; rather, it was political
bungling on a grand scale.
Those who can survey the events of the 1920s and 1930s and
blame free-market capitalism for the economic calamity have their eyes, ears,
and minds firmly closed to the facts. Changing the wrong-headed thinking that
constitutes much of today's conventional wisdom about this sordid historical
episode is vital to reviving faith in free markets and preserving our liberties.
The nation managed to survive both Hoover's activism and
Roosevelt’s New Deal quackery, and now the American heritage of freedom awaits a rediscovery by a new generation of citizens. This time we have nothing to fear but myths and misconceptions.
ENDNOTES
1. Alan Reynolds, "What Do We Know About the Great Crash?" National Review, November 9, 1979, p. 1416.
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2. Hans F. Sennholz, "The Great Depression," The Freeman, April 1975, p. 205.
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3. Murray Rothbard, America's Great Depression (Kansas City: Sheed and Ward, Inc., 1975), p. 89.
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4. Benjamin M. Anderson, Economics and the Public Welfare: A Financial and Economic History of the United States, 1914-46, 2nd edition (Indianapolis: Liberty Press, 1979), p. 127.
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5. Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960 (New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1963; ninth paperback printing by Princeton University Press, 1993), pp. 411-415.
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6. Lindley H. Clark, Jr., "After the Fall," The Wall Street Journal, October 26, 1979, p. 18.
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7. "Tearful Memories That Just Won't Fade Away," U. S. News & World Report, October 29, 1979, pp. 36-37.
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8. "FDR's Disputed Legacy," Time, February 1, 1982, p. 23.
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9. Barry W. Poulson, Economic History of the United States (New York: Macmillan Publishing Co., Inc., 1981), p. 508.
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10. Reynolds, p. 1419.
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11. Richard M. Ebeling, "Monetary Central Planning and the State-Part XI: The Great Depression and the Crisis of Government Intervention," Freedom Daily (Fairfax, Virginia: The Future of Freedom Foundation, November 1997), p. 15.
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12. Paul Johnson, A History of the American People (New York: HarperCollins Publishers, 1997), p. 740.
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13. Ibid., p. 741.
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14. Larry Schweikart and Michael Allen, A Patriot’s History of the United States: From Columbus’s Great Discovery to the War on Terror (New York: Sentinel, 2004), p. 553.
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15. Ibid., p. 554.
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16. "FDR's Disputed Legacy," p. 24.
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17. Sennholz, p. 210.
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18. From The Liberal Tradition: A Free People and a Free Economy by Lewis W. Douglas, as quoted in "Monetary Central Planning and the State, Part XIV: The New Deal and Its Critics," by Richard M. Ebeling in Freedom Daily, February 1998, p. 12.
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19. Friedman and Schwartz, p. 330.
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20. Jim Powell, FDR’s Folly: How Roosevelt and His New Deal Prolonged the Great Depression (New York: Crown Forum, 2003), p. 32.
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21. John Morton Blum, From the Morgenthau Diaries: Years of Crisis, 1928-1938 (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1959), p. 70.
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22. Anderson, p. 315.
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23. "FDR's Disputed Legacy," p. 24.
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24. Anderson, p. 336.
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25. Ibid., pp. 332-334.
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26. "FDR's Disputed Legacy," p. 30.
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27. John T. Flynn, The Roosevelt Myth (Garden City, N.Y.: Garden City Publishing Co., Inc., 1949), p. 45.
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28. C. David Tompkins, Senator Arthur H. Vandenberg: The Evolution of a Modern Republican, 1884-1945 (East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University Press, 1970), p. 157.
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29. Ibid., p. 121.
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30. Albert J. Nock, “Our Enemy, the State" (online at http://www.barefootsworld.net/nockoets1.html), Chapter 1, Section IV.
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31. Martin Morse Wooster, "Bring Back the WPA? It Also Had A Seamy Side," Wall Street Journal, September 3, 1986, p. A26.
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32. Ibid.
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33. Johnson, p. 762.
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34. Sennholz, pp. 212-213.
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35. William E. Leuchtenburg, Franklin D. Roosevelt and the New Deal, 1932-1940 (New York: Harper and Row, 1963), p. 242.
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36. Ibid., pp. 183-184.
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37. Robert Higgs, "Regime Uncertainty: Why the Great Depression Lasted So Long and Why Prosperity Resumed After the War," The Independent Review, Volume I, Number 4: Spring 1997, p. 573.
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38. Gary Dean Best, The Critical Press and the New Deal: The Press Versus Presidential Power, 1933-1938 (Westport, Connecticut: Praeger Publishers, 1993), p. 130.
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39. Ibid., p. 136.
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40. Folsom, Burton, "What's Wrong With The Progressive Income Tax?", Viewpoint on Public Issues, No. 99-18, May 3, 1999, Mackinac Center for Public Policy, Midland, Michigan.
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41. Ibid.
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42. Higgs, p. 564.
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43. Quoted in Herman E. Krooss, Executive Opinion: What Business Leaders Said and Thought on Economic Issues, 1920s-1960s (Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday and Co., 1970), p. 200.
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44. Higgs, p. 577.
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45. Blum, pp. 24-25.
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NOTE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, any copyrighted material herein is distributed without profit or payment to those who have expressed prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For further information please refer to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml